Sports playing can be quite profitable if you know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that smart money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a ideal case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Western Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , I also realized that there was a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This online game has all the signs of being one involving the very best games regarding the year, using both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming again from staying down major in the next fraction to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the sport seem like this year?
In case this match were appearing played on a new fairly neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.
These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like quite a bit, but in a near match-up like this, that extra point will make the variation between the push plus a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home video games.
And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… www.ufabet168.bet/ufabet hasn’t lost in your house since December 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game in your house, while hitting only giving up 15. six points per game from home. In case an individual did not do the mathematics, that means since their particular last home loss they are yet to averaged beating his or her competitors by simply about thirty four factors per game.
What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by 13 points per activity at home since the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s the way…
Many of those stats have been developed during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to possessed recent games where they also have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still a good close activity to get in touch with. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this particular game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There usually are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big that they could very well still win after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this match, people really serious concerning wagering saved money many people can offer better employ on forthcoming games.